Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 0.827321 1.047744 1.293764 1.585771 1.919991 2.287801 2.720362
2025-06-15 0.548879 0.836022 1.194390 1.661023 2.239315 2.919959 3.768902
2025-06-22 0.362241 0.670296 1.099890 1.708318 2.514590 3.515483 4.820402
2025-06-29 0.234151 0.535728 1.006827 1.728736 2.743337 4.060053 5.838734
2025-07-06 0.139508 0.410905 0.891508 1.689105 2.874561 4.476388 6.708703
2025-07-13 0.087645 0.335473 0.830184 1.710598 3.081151 4.993545 7.723651
2025-07-20 0.053084 0.274049 0.773833 1.725036 3.269772 5.487259 8.719401
2025-07-27 0.027273 0.210757 0.693028 1.681402 3.359262 5.838221 9.526791
2025-08-03 0.012483 0.161325 0.622555 1.640300 3.442216 6.175853 10.319570
2025-08-10 0.005688 0.131049 0.584302 1.649955 3.602842 6.628682 11.282472
2025-08-17 0.001583 0.097634 0.522794 1.601569 3.658252 6.920963 12.019876
2025-08-24 0.000589 0.086713 0.520995 1.674370 3.923919 7.540321 13.242370
2025-08-31 0.000054 0.068361 0.487960 1.677290 4.070903 7.988669 14.239631
2025-09-07 0.000004 0.064002 0.502528 1.789057 4.420327 8.766330 15.741827
2025-09-14 NaN 0.055798 0.498375 1.856378 4.691319 9.427411 17.085475
2025-09-21 NaN 0.045738 0.480260 1.887037 4.894546 9.984927 18.285256
2025-09-28 NaN 0.032867 0.437853 1.849485 4.964229 10.326508 19.165306
2025-10-05 NaN 0.026189 0.421141 1.874683 5.154685 10.868856 20.358328
2025-10-12 NaN 0.020319 0.402626 1.891247 5.327204 11.383975 21.516642
2025-10-19 NaN 0.013338 0.364591 1.845359 5.369900 11.681407 22.343539
2025-10-26 NaN 0.008336 0.330149 1.801840 5.412453 11.977151 23.170624
2025-11-02 NaN 0.005851 0.314407 1.812288 5.566958 12.466422 24.306639
2025-11-09 NaN 0.003104 0.281788 1.760751 5.584830 12.718613 25.072360